A salutary caution, at least if you follow Taleb’s investment strategy:
The safest policy is to act as if we had NO idea about the consequences of this. https://t.co/BSF2E10qc5
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) April 22, 2020
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Indoor transmission of SARS-CoV-2 medRxiv. Important.
Low incidence of daily active tobacco smoking in patients with symptomatic COVID-19 Qeios. “Conclusions and relevance: Our cross sectional study in both COVID-19 out- and inpatients strongly suggests that daily smokers have a very much lower probability of developing symptomatic or severe SARS-CoV-2 infection as compared to the general population, ” confirming NEJM study. ‘Cause smokers’s alveoli are so crudded up with tar that they can’t get infected! Now do marijuana.
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New York City antibody survey reveals more than a FIFTH residents have been infected and mortality rate is FIVE TIMES deadlier than the flu Daily Mail. “It remains unconfirmed how accurate the test – which the state developed itself – is.”
Germans are not Swedes are not Americans, but (original):
1/ This email came from a German reader. To summarize: on April 15 the official German public health/disease control institute published a paper showing that moderate social distancing reduced #SARS_CoV2 spread but the hard lockdown was useless. https://t.co/CstwbAwOfP pic.twitter.com/UDpMu3MNXd
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 19, 2020
Flattening the curve won’t lead to coronavirus turning point, study finds South China Morning Post
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The Real Reason to Wear a Mask The Atlantic
With and without masks:
— NEJM (@NEJM) April 23, 2020
Even so, the oft-repeated test sentence — “Stay healthy!” — misstates the rationale for the general population using masks: They do not so much protect you from others, as others from you. The ethic is quite literally #NotMeUs (hence, politicized, as the very notion of public heatlh is politicized).
The House’s doctor advises members to wear masks to prevent them from spreading infection to others. Reps. Michael Burgess and Jim Jordan are among those ignoring that advice. So watch Jordan over Burgess’s shoulder here. pic.twitter.com/mQFNS9r2bH
— Michael McAuliff (@mmcauliff) April 23, 2020
Jim Jordan’s district is (OH-04). “Jordan’s district ranks second in Ohio for prison inmates… with 12,560 inmates as of early October at prisons in Grafton, Lima, Marion, and Marysville.” And: “Marion prison is one of the nation’s largest sources of COVID-19 infections” WKYC.
Airline passenger describes packed flight to NYC surrounded by people not wearing masks NY Post (Re SIlc). The picture.
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Treatment and Vaccine:
Gilead’s coronavirus drug flops in first trial – FT Reuters (Re Silc).
SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines: Status Report (PDF) Cell. Very, very good. Key tablel
Coronavirus: First patients injected in UK vaccine trial BBC. Volunteers (n=2).
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Saliva is more sensitive for SARS-CoV-2 detection in COVID-19 patients than nasopharyngeal swabs medrXiv. I’ve seen those unpleasant medical textbook-y images of swabs going into the nasal passages.
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Principles for Technology-Assisted Contact-Tracing ACLU (dk). “Location tracking and massive centralized
surveillance should be off the table, but proximity tracking could be useful.”
Contact-Tracing Technology: A Key to Reopening Johns Hopkins School of Public Health
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Farmers Are Starting to Destroy Their Pigs After Factories Close Bloomberg (KW) The World’s Top Pork Processor Is Battling Two Epidemics at Once Bloomberg. Happening at the same time in the US and China. In a crisis,
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Expected loss provisioning under a global pandemic Bank of International Settlements
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Nevada Brothel Causes Stir With Stimulus Request Jonathan Turley. Come on, man.
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Who Should Get Bailed Out in the Coronavirus Economy? The New Yorker. The same people who got bailed out by [genuflects] Obama. Easy peasy!
This Iowa family is behind the ‘Reopen’ protests popping up across the country Des Moines Register
“Really Want to Flood NY and NJ”: Internal Documents Reveal Team Trump’s Chloroquine Master Plan Vanity Fair (dk: “‘Based on documents and interviews provided by multiple federal officials’ but only one email excerpt presented and scant attribution. It *sounds* likely, but it would be nice to have more meat to the scuttlebutt.”
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WHO warns ‘long way to go’ in coronavirus crisis Agence France Presse
How Control Theory Can Help Us Control COVID-19 IEEE Spectrum
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Diseases Can Jump to Humans from Plants, Not Just from Animals Scientific American
Cabinet reshuffle to boost Hong Kong gov’t’s ‘fighting power,’ says Beijing loyalist Hong Kong Free Press
Hong Kong political crisis deepens despite protest lull during virus Agence France Presse. Never let a crisis go to waste.
China prosecutes first overseas national for Hong Kong interference South China Morning Post
How asymptomatic cases fuelled spread of coronavirus Times of India
Markets Will Punish India for Fiscal Excesses, Says Former Bank Governor Bloomberg. Austerity already baked in?
How the Bottom Fell Out of the U.S.-Saudi Alliance Foreign Policy
The Russia hoax was never a hoax. An encouraging bipartisan report confirms it. Editorial Board, New York Times
More Media Misdirection on Trump-Russia Andrew McCarthy, National Review
Democrats blast Trump team’s handling of federal workers in coronavirus crisis Politico. “[Office of Personnel Management Acting Director Mike] Rigas has told colleagues that he questions the constitutionality of the 1883 Pendleton Act, which codifies using merit to pick government officials, and believes that all executive branch employees should be political appointees, according to a person who has discussed the matter with him.”
Our Famously Free Press
COVID-19: New York Times Revives its Role in Chinagate Consortium News
Imperial Collapse Watch
Coronavirus shakes the conceit of ‘American exceptionalism’ AP. Finally mainstreamed.
Please Tell The Establishment That U.S. Hegemony Is Over The American Conservative
Respectable Racism: The “War With China ” Edition Yasha Levine, Immigrants as a Weapon. Jake, it’s bipartisan.
Toward a New Theory of Power Projection War on the Rocks
The Cuomos’ Corona Protocol, Week 3 The Purist
The pandemic is revealing how bad our technology really is The Week. By technology is meant “tech,” but then airplanes don’t seem to be working very well either.
Antidote du Jour (via):
When your goat is more photogenic than you 😀 pic.twitter.com/aHRWR60dns
— Nature & Animals 🌴 (@AnimalsWorId) April 23, 2020
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.